The Blob / The Really Persistent Ridge / Epic El Niño

[newforest]

So they say it will be a record El Niño this year in the Pacific. Will it break up The Blob (pool of warm water off the west coast of North America)? Will The Blob just have a party with the little Niño and make a Super Blob?

What will this do to The Really Persistent Ridge = The strong dip in the jet stream that brings the Polar Vortex on south of the Great Lakes while keeping the Rockies under a big dry High Pressure, like ALL the time. I often wonder how the physical geography of the mountains from Alaska to Mexico influence that pattern.

Or is the new Jet Stream pattern so sinuous, anything can happen?

What do you hear about the weather for the next six months?

[newforest]

It's back.

I have lived through about 8 weeks straight of lower-than-average temps in the Lake Superior country, with the bonus of additional precipitation. Blob pushes Jet Stream up, has to come back down somewhere.

There was some news coverage of it in October. It was thought there were signs The Blob would break up. I don't think it has. Could be a long, Vortex-y winter.

[Scooter]

North Central BC has been unbelievably warm for the past six weeks compared to the past eight years. Most other years, I was sleeping temperatures down to as low as -18 Celsius, with -10 to -12 being normal at night. For the past four weeks, I think the coldest night-time temperature I've seen was about -6. Mind you, there was also a lot of sudden snow at altitude two weeks ago, that's made burning slash piles very difficult in many areas.